• Modle CFS - Coupled Forecast System

Tendances saisonnires du CFS (Coupled Forecast System)
pour Fvrier 2020

Fvrier 2020 - Mars 2020 - Avril 2020 - Mai 2020 - Juin 2020 - Juillet 2020


Anomalie de la temprature 2m

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
27/01/2020 00Z+2.6 C+1.6 C+3.5 C+2.3 C+2.7 C+1.8 C+3 C
26/01/2020 18Z+1.6 C+0.8 C+1.1 C+1.2 C+2.2 C+0.2 C+2.5 C
26/01/2020 12Z-0.9 C+0.1 C-0.1 C-0.6 C-0.3 C-1.2 C+0 C
26/01/2020 06Z+2.2 C+1.1 C+1.9 C+2 C+3.1 C+0.7 C+2.5 C
26/01/2020 00Z+2.9 C+1.6 C+2.7 C+2.2 C+2.7 C+1.7 C+2.8 C
25/01/2020 18Z+1.1 C+1 C+2.5 C+1.3 C+1.6 C+0.5 C+1.8 C
25/01/2020 12Z+2.5 C+0.9 C+1.8 C+2 C+3.3 C-0.2 C+2.6 C
25/01/2020 06Z-0.2 C-0.5 C+0.5 C+1 C+0.7 C-1.9 C+0.8 C
25/01/2020 00Z+2 C+1.3 C+1.1 C+1.3 C+3 C+0.9 C+3.1 C
24/01/2020 18Z+2.7 C+2.2 C+3 C+2 C+3.3 C+2.2 C+3.9 C
24/01/2020 12Z+1.7 C+1.9 C+2.3 C+1.3 C+2 C+1.2 C+2.8 C
24/01/2020 06Z+3.1 C+2.6 C+2.6 C+1.9 C+3.4 C+2.5 C+4.9 C
24/01/2020 00Z+2.5 C+1.5 C+2 C+2.1 C+2.9 C+1 C+3.4 C
23/01/2020 18Z+2.4 C+2.1 C+2.3 C+1.6 C+2.7 C+1.7 C+3.4 C
23/01/2020 12Z+3 C+2.6 C+2.9 C+2.1 C+3.5 C+2.6 C+4.2 C
23/01/2020 06Z+2.1 C+1.8 C+2.4 C+2 C+2.7 C+1.5 C+3.2 C
23/01/2020 00Z+2 C+1.7 C+2.7 C+1.5 C+2.4 C+1.3 C+3.1 C
22/01/2020 18Z+3.8 C+2.1 C+3.3 C+2.5 C+4 C+2.8 C+4.4 C
22/01/2020 12Z+4 C+2.7 C+3.9 C+2.7 C+4.4 C+3.3 C+5.3 C
22/01/2020 06Z+3.2 C+1.2 C+3.1 C+2.7 C+4.1 C+1.6 C+3.6 C
22/01/2020 00Z+3.6 C+2.1 C+2.8 C+2.6 C+4 C+1.5 C+3.4 C
21/01/2020 18Z+4 C+2.6 C+3.8 C+2.5 C+4.3 C+3 C+5.4 C
21/01/2020 12Z+1.4 C+0.8 C+1.2 C+1.1 C+1.9 C-0.2 C+2.4 C
21/01/2020 06Z+3.5 C+2.3 C+3.2 C+2.3 C+4.2 C+2.6 C+4.8 C
21/01/2020 00Z+1 C+-0 C+0.7 C+2.1 C+1.5 C-1.8 C+0.4 C
20/01/2020 18Z+1.5 C+1.1 C+1 C+0.9 C+1.7 C+0.3 C+2.5 C
20/01/2020 12Z+1 C+0.7 C+0.4 C+1.4 C+1.9 C-1.1 C+0.8 C
20/01/2020 06Z+3.3 C+2.1 C+2.3 C+2.4 C+4.2 C+1.8 C+4.4 C
20/01/2020 00Z+3.2 C+2.4 C+3 C+2 C+3.5 C+2.5 C+4.1 C
19/01/2020 18Z+2.9 C+2.5 C+2.8 C+2.3 C+3.4 C+2.2 C+4.1 C
Moyenne+2.3 C+1.6 C+2.2 C+1.8 C+2.8 C+1.2 C+3.1 C

Anomalie de la temprature 850hPa

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
27/01/2020 00Z+2.9 C+0.6 C+3.1 C+2 C+2.7 C+2.5 C+2.6 C
26/01/2020 18Z-0.6 C+0.1 C-0.2 C-0.9 C-0.6 C-0.2 C-0.1 C
26/01/2020 12Z-3.4 C-1.2 C-2.2 C-3.2 C-3.7 C-1.7 C-2.6 C
26/01/2020 06Z+2.3 C+1 C+2 C+2.1 C+2.2 C+1.9 C+2.1 C
26/01/2020 00Z+2.1 C+0.9 C+2.3 C+1.8 C+2.1 C+2 C+1.8 C
25/01/2020 18Z+1.4 C+0.2 C+1.7 C+0.7 C+0.9 C+1.1 C+0.7 C
25/01/2020 12Z+1.4 C-0.2 C+1.2 C+1.2 C+1.5 C+0.6 C+1 C
25/01/2020 06Z-1.3 C-1.8 C-1.4 C-1.3 C-1.2 C-1.5 C-0.8 C
25/01/2020 00Z+0.8 C+0.5 C+1.1 C+1 C+1.1 C+1 C+1.4 C
24/01/2020 18Z+3.4 C+1.4 C+2.7 C+2.3 C+3.8 C+3 C+4 C
24/01/2020 12Z+0.3 C+1.1 C+1.2 C-0.2 C+0.1 C+1.3 C+1.1 C
24/01/2020 06Z+1.8 C+2.4 C+2.3 C+0.4 C+1.7 C+2.9 C+3.1 C
24/01/2020 00Z+0.5 C+1 C+0.2 C+0.2 C+0.5 C+0.7 C+1.1 C
23/01/2020 18Z-0.3 C+1.4 C+0.2 C-1.2 C-0.2 C+0.7 C+0.5 C
23/01/2020 12Z+2 C+3.5 C+3 C+1.2 C+1.7 C+3.2 C+2.9 C
23/01/2020 06Z+1.3 C+2.3 C+1.8 C+0.5 C+1 C+1.9 C+1.5 C
23/01/2020 00Z+0.7 C+0.5 C+1.4 C-0.2 C+0.7 C+1 C+1 C
22/01/2020 18Z+2.9 C+1.6 C+2.9 C+1.5 C+3.1 C+2.8 C+3.8 C
22/01/2020 12Z+3.8 C+2.8 C+3.9 C+2.8 C+3.9 C+3.9 C+4.6 C
22/01/2020 06Z+2.7 C+0.3 C+2.3 C+1.7 C+3 C+1.9 C+3.2 C
22/01/2020 00Z+2.4 C+2.8 C+3.5 C+3.8 C+1.9 C+1.4 C+1 C
21/01/2020 18Z+4.6 C+3.4 C+4.4 C+3.1 C+4.4 C+4.4 C+4.9 C
21/01/2020 12Z+0.1 C-0.9 C-0.5 C+0 C+0.5 C-0.5 C+0.2 C
21/01/2020 06Z+3 C+2.2 C+2.9 C+2 C+3 C+3 C+3.6 C
21/01/2020 00Z+-0 C-0.8 C+0.4 C+1.5 C+0.1 C-1.6 C-1.8 C
20/01/2020 18Z+0.9 C+0.5 C+0.5 C+0.1 C+1.1 C+0.8 C+1.2 C
20/01/2020 12Z+0.8 C+0.1 C+0.7 C+1.2 C+0.7 C+0.2 C+0.5 C
20/01/2020 06Z+1.4 C+2.7 C+2 C+1.1 C+1.3 C+1.9 C+2.3 C
20/01/2020 00Z+3 C+2.2 C+3.4 C+3.2 C+2.8 C+2.2 C+2.4 C
19/01/2020 18Z+2.8 C+3.1 C+3 C+2.3 C+2.3 C+3 C+3 C
Moyenne+1.5 C+1.1 C+1.7 C+1 C+1.4 C+1.5 C+1.7 C

Anomalie de quantit de prcipitations

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
27/01/2020 00Z+6.7 %-89.3 %-32.8 %-28.9 %+0.8 %-29.8 %-47 %
26/01/2020 18Z+165.6 %-40.1 %+161.6 %+69.1 %+99.1 %+144.3 %+86.6 %
26/01/2020 12Z+43.9 %-71.8 %-38.6 %+9.3 %+47.3 %+23.4 %+1.5 %
26/01/2020 06Z-41.2 %-54.6 %-47.5 %-40.1 %-28.6 %-34.9 %-44.9 %
26/01/2020 00Z+14.7 %+18 %+5.6 %+35.8 %+8.8 %+39.8 %-10.7 %
25/01/2020 18Z+27.4 %+93 %+68 %+15.6 %+32.6 %+25 %-27.5 %
25/01/2020 12Z+55.6 %-67.4 %+44.8 %+18.6 %+53.7 %+51.9 %+30.3 %
25/01/2020 06Z+70.7 %-42.3 %+121.9 %+50.4 %+26.5 %+74.1 %-11.9 %
25/01/2020 00Z-12.4 %-2.9 %-29.8 %-17.5 %-22.9 %-17.5 %-31.2 %
24/01/2020 18Z-32.6 %+35.3 %-26.7 %-41 %-39.3 %-5 %-34 %
24/01/2020 12Z+75 %-0.3 %+217.3 %+16.8 %+28 %+167.9 %+60.5 %
24/01/2020 06Z+182.9 %-6.3 %+231.1 %+168 %+137.6 %+163 %+90 %
24/01/2020 00Z+111.9 %-58 %+119.2 %+50.5 %+90 %+109.2 %+57.4 %
23/01/2020 18Z+162.6 %-38 %+202.4 %+122.7 %+217.5 %+225.2 %+106.7 %
23/01/2020 12Z+24.6 %-69 %-9.5 %+29.1 %+14 %+41.8 %+18.4 %
23/01/2020 06Z+33 %-62.7 %+14.8 %+16.3 %+52.9 %+30.5 %-1.7 %
23/01/2020 00Z+88.9 %-86.2 %+36 %+62 %+95.3 %+57.6 %+36.8 %
22/01/2020 18Z+15.2 %+71.9 %+2.7 %-9 %-11.6 %+9.9 %-19.2 %
22/01/2020 12Z+0.2 %+14.3 %-19.5 %+74.5 %+33.8 %-6 %-20.5 %
22/01/2020 06Z+28.7 %-40.9 %+10.9 %+12.7 %+51.1 %-3.5 %-35.4 %
22/01/2020 00Z-0.5 %-98.5 %-60.7 %-71.9 %+21 %-11.1 %+41.1 %
21/01/2020 18Z+43.8 %-60.7 %-8.2 %-15.3 %+76.6 %+26.2 %-29.7 %
21/01/2020 12Z+31.8 %-2.7 %+13.5 %+23.8 %+45.9 %+117.4 %+28.7 %
21/01/2020 06Z+29 %+17.8 %+69.7 %+14.4 %+14.2 %+26.3 %+9.2 %
21/01/2020 00Z-29.3 %-91.9 %-48.6 %-52.4 %-12.7 %-9.1 %+3.5 %
20/01/2020 18Z+82.3 %+31.1 %+30.4 %-11.6 %+98.5 %+58.5 %+26.9 %
20/01/2020 12Z-45.9 %-16.9 %-26.8 %-27.6 %-60.7 %+3.2 %-30.2 %
20/01/2020 06Z+15.7 %-36 %-43.1 %-26.3 %+57.8 %+15.7 %+17.7 %
20/01/2020 00Z-11.3 %-86.3 %-75.8 %-61.9 %+1.1 %-3.9 %+26 %
19/01/2020 18Z+149.2 %-68.4 %+30.1 %+66 %+99 %+98.5 %+104.9 %
Moyenne+42.9 %-30.3 %+30.4 %+15.1 %+40.9 %+46.3 %+13.4 %

Anomalie de pression

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
27/01/2020 00Z+4.2 hPa+6.6 hPa+3.2 hPa+2.8 hPa+4.2 hPa+5.3 hPa+5.3 hPa
26/01/2020 18Z-9.3 hPa-3.4 hPa-4.3 hPa-8.9 hPa-11.2 hPa-5.1 hPa-8.1 hPa
26/01/2020 12Z-0.7 hPa-1 hPa-0.8 hPa-0.2 hPa-0.5 hPa-1.2 hPa-1 hPa
26/01/2020 06Z+8.6 hPa+9.1 hPa+8.6 hPa+8.1 hPa+7.7 hPa+9 hPa+9 hPa
26/01/2020 00Z-5.9 hPa-2.4 hPa-6.3 hPa-9.4 hPa-5.3 hPa-4.1 hPa-3.8 hPa
25/01/2020 18Z-4.7 hPa-2.3 hPa-4.7 hPa-6.3 hPa-4.9 hPa-3.1 hPa-3.1 hPa
25/01/2020 12Z-1.8 hPa+2 hPa+1.8 hPa-1.2 hPa-4.1 hPa+1.3 hPa-1.5 hPa
25/01/2020 06Z-2.4 hPa-0.6 hPa+0 hPa-2.3 hPa-3.5 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.9 hPa
25/01/2020 00Z+1.5 hPa+1.3 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.6 hPa+1.5 hPa+1.3 hPa+1.4 hPa
24/01/2020 18Z+2.3 hPa+5.1 hPa+1.1 hPa-0.9 hPa+2.3 hPa+3.7 hPa+3.9 hPa
24/01/2020 12Z-3.9 hPa-0.6 hPa-2.2 hPa-4.5 hPa-4.9 hPa-2.2 hPa-3.3 hPa
24/01/2020 06Z-14.4 hPa-5.2 hPa-9.8 hPa-17.8 hPa-16.2 hPa-8.6 hPa-11.4 hPa
24/01/2020 00Z-4 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.8 hPa-3.7 hPa-6.6 hPa-0.4 hPa-3.5 hPa
23/01/2020 18Z-9.9 hPa-1.5 hPa-3.5 hPa-10.3 hPa-13.7 hPa-4 hPa-8.5 hPa
23/01/2020 12Z-1.7 hPa+2.1 hPa-0.3 hPa-3.6 hPa-2.9 hPa+0.6 hPa-0.4 hPa
23/01/2020 06Z-1 hPa+2.7 hPa+2 hPa-1.8 hPa-3 hPa+2 hPa-0.1 hPa
23/01/2020 00Z-2.6 hPa+2.5 hPa-0.1 hPa-3.6 hPa-4.3 hPa+0.8 hPa-1.4 hPa
22/01/2020 18Z-4.6 hPa-0.2 hPa-5 hPa-7.4 hPa-4.7 hPa-2.3 hPa-2.8 hPa
22/01/2020 12Z-5.2 hPa+0.1 hPa-4.7 hPa-9.4 hPa-6 hPa-2 hPa-2.7 hPa
22/01/2020 06Z+1.3 hPa+5.9 hPa+2.1 hPa-1.4 hPa+0.4 hPa+4.4 hPa+3.3 hPa
22/01/2020 00Z+7.9 hPa+7 hPa+9.6 hPa+10.1 hPa+6.7 hPa+8.4 hPa+6.7 hPa
21/01/2020 18Z+1.2 hPa+5.5 hPa+1.6 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.2 hPa+3.8 hPa+2.5 hPa
21/01/2020 12Z-1.8 hPa+0.2 hPa-0.2 hPa-2 hPa-2.8 hPa-0.3 hPa-1.7 hPa
21/01/2020 06Z-4 hPa+1 hPa-2.5 hPa-4.9 hPa-5.4 hPa-1 hPa-2.7 hPa
21/01/2020 00Z+4.7 hPa+2.6 hPa+5.3 hPa+6.3 hPa+4.1 hPa+4.3 hPa+3.5 hPa
20/01/2020 18Z-3.9 hPa-2 hPa-2.5 hPa-4 hPa-4.6 hPa-2.4 hPa-3.6 hPa
20/01/2020 12Z+2.9 hPa+1.2 hPa+2.2 hPa+2.2 hPa+3.2 hPa+2.3 hPa+3 hPa
20/01/2020 06Z+0.6 hPa+2.9 hPa+2.9 hPa+0.2 hPa-1 hPa+2.8 hPa+0.8 hPa
20/01/2020 00Z+7.6 hPa+7.4 hPa+8.2 hPa+8.6 hPa+6.7 hPa+7.7 hPa+6.8 hPa
19/01/2020 18Z+1.1 hPa+3.7 hPa+3.8 hPa+1.3 hPa-0.5 hPa+3.2 hPa+0.9 hPa
Moyenne-1.3 hPa+1.7 hPa+0.2 hPa-2.1 hPa-2.3 hPa+0.8 hPa-0.5 hPa

Cartes d'anomalie pour le dernier run de CFS

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Prcisions
Les calculs d'anomalies sont raliss partir des donnes de la priode 1982-2010. Le modle Coupled Forecast System (CFSv2) est donc un modle saisonnier qui est lanc une 4 tous les jours avec les donnes de ranalyse du NCEP. Les runs ont environ 1 jour de retard puisque le temps de calcul du modèle est très long.

 

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